[ Graph and Discussion | Dagnammit Poker Casino ]
Probability of Blackjack Dealer Outcomes at Various Shoe Sizes
| shoe size: 2, dealer stands on soft 17 |
| dealer card |
bust |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
blackjack |
| A |
11.654% |
12.613% |
13.100% |
12.949% |
13.155% |
5.156% |
31.373% |
| 2 |
35.329% |
13.937% |
13.335% |
13.074% |
12.400% |
11.925% |
0.000% |
| 3 |
37.479% |
13.276% |
13.068% |
12.458% |
12.181% |
11.538% |
0.000% |
| 4 |
39.854% |
13.070% |
12.021% |
12.104% |
11.637% |
11.314% |
0.000% |
| 5 |
42.251% |
12.100% |
12.283% |
11.732% |
10.902% |
10.732% |
0.000% |
| 6 |
42.213% |
16.622% |
10.617% |
10.675% |
10.122% |
9.751% |
0.000% |
| 7 |
26.114% |
37.048% |
13.820% |
7.801% |
7.878% |
7.339% |
0.000% |
| 8 |
24.163% |
12.970% |
36.118% |
12.902% |
6.886% |
6.961% |
0.000% |
| 9 |
23.090% |
12.094% |
11.202% |
35.405% |
12.112% |
6.098% |
0.000% |
| 10/J/Q/K |
21.319% |
11.290% |
11.216% |
11.301% |
33.561% |
3.546% |
7.767% |
| total |
28.263% |
14.530% |
13.879% |
13.408% |
17.809% |
7.308% |
4.803% |
| shoe size: 4, dealer stands on soft 17 |
| dealer card |
bust |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
blackjack |
| A |
11.557% |
12.963% |
13.084% |
13.049% |
13.097% |
5.332% |
30.918% |
| 2 |
35.345% |
13.958% |
13.413% |
13.020% |
12.401% |
11.862% |
0.000% |
| 3 |
37.435% |
13.392% |
13.057% |
12.506% |
12.106% |
11.504% |
0.000% |
| 4 |
39.648% |
13.059% |
12.311% |
12.121% |
11.642% |
11.218% |
0.000% |
| 5 |
41.941% |
12.164% |
12.253% |
11.751% |
11.111% |
10.779% |
0.000% |
| 6 |
42.267% |
16.584% |
10.617% |
10.651% |
10.147% |
9.733% |
0.000% |
| 7 |
26.174% |
36.953% |
13.800% |
7.833% |
7.871% |
7.370% |
0.000% |
| 8 |
24.317% |
12.913% |
36.026% |
12.880% |
6.913% |
6.951% |
0.000% |
| 9 |
22.965% |
12.047% |
11.602% |
35.240% |
12.056% |
6.090% |
0.000% |
| 10/J/Q/K |
21.265% |
11.216% |
11.179% |
11.221% |
33.892% |
3.498% |
7.729% |
| total |
28.209% |
14.530% |
13.914% |
13.380% |
17.916% |
7.295% |
4.757% |
| shoe size: 6, dealer stands on soft 17 |
| dealer card |
bust |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
blackjack |
| A |
11.547% |
13.002% |
13.082% |
13.059% |
13.091% |
5.350% |
30.868% |
| 2 |
35.350% |
13.966% |
13.439% |
13.002% |
12.402% |
11.841% |
0.000% |
| 3 |
37.419% |
13.430% |
13.054% |
12.523% |
12.082% |
11.493% |
0.000% |
| 4 |
39.580% |
13.056% |
12.406% |
12.127% |
11.644% |
11.187% |
0.000% |
| 5 |
41.841% |
12.184% |
12.244% |
11.758% |
11.179% |
10.795% |
0.000% |
| 6 |
42.284% |
16.571% |
10.619% |
10.643% |
10.155% |
9.728% |
0.000% |
| 7 |
26.194% |
36.921% |
13.793% |
7.843% |
7.868% |
7.382% |
0.000% |
| 8 |
24.369% |
12.894% |
35.995% |
12.872% |
6.922% |
6.947% |
0.000% |
| 9 |
22.924% |
12.031% |
11.735% |
35.185% |
12.037% |
6.088% |
0.000% |
| 10/J/Q/K |
21.247% |
11.191% |
11.167% |
11.194% |
34.001% |
3.482% |
7.717% |
| total |
28.192% |
14.525% |
13.926% |
13.368% |
17.953% |
7.287% |
4.749% |
[ Graph and Discussion | Dagnammit Poker Casino ]